Which US states or territories will pass Montana-style Right-to-Try bills in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether a specific U.S. state or territory will enact a “Montana-style” Right-to-Try law between January 1 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be LegiScan, based on the final enacted statutory text.
If the specified state enacts in 2026 a law that meets all three criteria — (A) no terminal-illness requirement, (B) access to investigational treatments at or beyond Phase 1 safety, and (C) meaningful state-level protections or non-interference — this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Executive orders, agency guidance, pilot programs, or non-binding resolutions will not count. If statutory interpretation is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consensus legal analysis reported by reputable national outlets. Resolution will reflect the substantive content of the enacted law, not labels. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.